Jasmine Paolini vs Aryna Sabalenka — Indian Wells Round of 64
Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 64
#15WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 March 2022 ·
hard
BLR2#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
Paolini J.2-6 6-3 6-3
Sabalenka A.
Paolini J.
2662
Sabalenka A.
6331
Jasmine Paolini defeated Aryna Sabalenka 2-6 6-3 6-3 in the Indian Wells round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 6–0. Jasmine Paolini claimed a first win over Aryna Sabalenka in seven meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 6–1.
Key context
- Match story: Jasmine Paolini dropped the opening set before beating Aryna Sabalenka 2–6 6–3 6–3.
Head to head
0–6| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-01 | Riyadh Finals | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2025-04-14 | Stuttgart | SF | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2025-03-18 | Miami | SF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2024-11-04 | Riyadh Finals | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2023-10-02 | Beijing | R16 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 7-6 |
| 2020-11-09 | Linz | R32 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 6-4 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
63%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.4
4.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.7
2.6
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Clear edge
77
100
Break points saved·Dominant
46
93
Break points won·Even
96
99
Deciding sets·Even
95
97
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
86
100
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·
—
59
Sabalenka A.: played today · 4 matches, 76 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast