Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini — Miami Semi-final
Miami · WTA · Semi-final
BLR1#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 18 March 2025 ·
hard
ITA6#15WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLW
Sabalenka A.6-2 6-2
Paolini J.
Sabalenka A.
662
Paolini J.
220
Aryna Sabalenka defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-2 6-2 in the Miami semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 5–1, defending last year's round of 32. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 6–1.
Key context
- Match story: Aryna Sabalenka dropped just 4 games past Jasmine Paolini.
Head to head
5–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-01 | Riyadh Finals | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2025-04-14 | Stuttgart | SF | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2024-11-04 | Riyadh Finals | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2023-10-02 | Beijing | R16 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 7-6 |
| 2022-03-07 | Indian Wells | R64 | hard | Jasmine Paolini | 2-6 6-3 6-3 |
| 2020-11-09 | Linz | R32 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 6-4 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
64%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
1.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.6
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (114 vs 94). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Clear edge
100
77
Break points saved·Dominant
93
46
Break points won·Even
99
96
Deciding sets·Even
97
95
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
86
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·
66
—
Sabalenka A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast