Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka — Wuhan Semi-final
Wuhan · WTA · Semi-final
USA6#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 October 2025 ·
hard
BLR1#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWLWW
Pegula J.2-6 6-4 7-6
Sabalenka A.
Pegula J.
2672
Sabalenka A.
6461
Jessica Pegula defeated Aryna Sabalenka 2-6 6-4 7-6 in the Wuhan semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 11–3, defending the title. Jessica Pegula narrowed the head-to-head to 11–4.
Key context
- Match story: Jessica Pegula dropped the opening set before beating Aryna Sabalenka 2–6 6–4 7–6.
Head to head
3–11| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Berlin | SF | grass | Jessica Pegula | 4-6 7-6 0-6 |
| 2025-11-04 | WTA Finals | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 2-6 6-3 |
| 2025-11-01 | Riyadh Finals | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 2-6 6-3 |
| 2025-08-25 | US Open | SF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 4-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-03-18 | Miami | F | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-5 6-2 |
| 2024-08-26 | US Open | F | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-5 7-5 |
| 2024-08-19 | Cincinnati | F | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2023-10-30 | Cancun Finals | RR | hard | Jessica Pegula | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2022-11-04 | WTA Finals | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2022-10-31 | Fort Worth Finals | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2022-05-09 | Rome | R16 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2021-04-29 | Madrid | R16 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2020-09-28 | Roland Garros | R128 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2020-08-24 | Cincinnati | R16 | hard | Jessica Pegula | 6-2 2-6 6-3 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.2
4.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.1
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (117 vs 114). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
93
100
Break points saved·Slight edge
86
93
Break points won·Even
99
99
Deciding sets·Even
99
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
91
100
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Clear edge
78
66
Pegula J.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Sabalenka A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast