Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula — US Open Semi-final
US Open · WTA · Semi-final
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 25 August 2025 ·
hard
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWLWWW
Sabalenka A.4-6 6-3 6-4
Pegula J.
Sabalenka A.
4662
Pegula J.
6341
Aryna Sabalenka defeated Jessica Pegula 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the US Open semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 10–4, defending the title. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 11–4.
Key context
- Match story: Aryna Sabalenka dropped the opening set before beating Jessica Pegula 4–6 6–3 6–4.
Head to head
10–4| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Berlin | SF | grass | Jessica Pegula | 4-6 7-6 0-6 |
| 2025-11-04 | WTA Finals | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 2-6 6-3 |
| 2025-11-01 | Riyadh Finals | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 2-6 6-3 |
| 2025-10-06 | Wuhan | SF | hard | Jessica Pegula | 2-6 6-4 7-6 |
| 2025-03-18 | Miami | F | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-5 6-2 |
| 2024-08-26 | US Open | F | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-5 7-5 |
| 2024-08-19 | Cincinnati | F | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2023-10-30 | Cancun Finals | RR | hard | Jessica Pegula | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2022-11-04 | WTA Finals | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2022-10-31 | Fort Worth Finals | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2022-05-09 | Rome | R16 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2021-04-29 | Madrid | R16 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2020-09-28 | Roland Garros | R128 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2020-08-24 | Cincinnati | R16 | hard | Jessica Pegula | 6-2 2-6 6-3 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.2
3.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (114 vs 117). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
100
93
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
86
Break points won·Even
99
99
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
91
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Clear edge
66
78
Sabalenka A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d) · Pegula J.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast