Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka — Cincinnati Round of 16
Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 16
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2020 ·
hard
BLR5#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWLWW
Pegula J.6-2 2-6 6-3
Sabalenka A.
Pegula J.
6262
Sabalenka A.
2631
Jessica Pegula defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-2 2-6 6-3 in the Cincinnati round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 11–3, defending last year's round of 16. Jessica Pegula narrowed the head-to-head to 11–4.
Key context
- Match story: Jessica Pegula closed it out in three sets, 6–2 2–6 6–3.
Head to head
3–11| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Berlin | SF | grass | Jessica Pegula | 4-6 7-6 0-6 |
| 2025-11-04 | WTA Finals | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 2-6 6-3 |
| 2025-11-01 | Riyadh Finals | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 2-6 6-3 |
| 2025-10-06 | Wuhan | SF | hard | Jessica Pegula | 2-6 6-4 7-6 |
| 2025-08-25 | US Open | SF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 4-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-03-18 | Miami | F | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-5 6-2 |
| 2024-08-26 | US Open | F | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-5 7-5 |
| 2024-08-19 | Cincinnati | F | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2023-10-30 | Cancun Finals | RR | hard | Jessica Pegula | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2022-11-04 | WTA Finals | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2022-10-31 | Fort Worth Finals | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2022-05-09 | Rome | R16 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2021-04-29 | Madrid | R16 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2020-09-28 | Roland Garros | R128 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-1 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
4.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.6
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
93
100
Break points saved·Slight edge
86
93
Break points won·Even
99
99
Deciding sets·Even
99
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
91
100
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Clear edge
78
66
Pegula J.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Sabalenka A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast