Elena Rybakina vs Madison Keys — Cincinnati Round of 16
Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 16
KAZ9#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025 ·
hard
USA6#24WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLLWWWW
Rybakina E.6-7 6-4 6-2
Keys M.
Rybakina E.
6662
Keys M.
7421
Elena Rybakina defeated Madison Keys 6-7 6-4 6-2 in the Cincinnati round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, defending last year's round of 32. Elena Rybakina narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.
Key context
- Match story: Elena Rybakina dropped the opening set before beating Madison Keys 6–7 6–4 6–2.
Head to head
2–3| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | R16 | hard | Madison Keys | 6-3 1-6 6-3 |
| 2024-03-18 | Miami | R16 | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2022-10-03 | Ostrava | R32 | hard | Elena Rybakina | 5-7 6-3 6-3 |
| 2022-08-15 | Cincinnati | QF | hard | Madison Keys | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2022-05-23 | Roland Garros | R32 | clay | Madison Keys | 3-6 6-1 7-6 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.9
4.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
3.6
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (119 vs 81). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
98
90
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
85
Break points won·Even
96
92
Deciding sets·Even
98
94
Tiebreaks·Even
92
95
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Clear edge
56
74
Rybakina E.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 87 games (7d) · Keys M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast