Madison Keys vs Elena Rybakina — Cincinnati Quarter-final
Cincinnati · WTA · Quarter-final
USA#24WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 August 2022 ·
hard
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWWWL
Keys M.6-2 6-4
Rybakina E.
Keys M.
662
Rybakina E.
240
Madison Keys defeated Elena Rybakina 6-2 6-4 in the Cincinnati quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's round of 16. Madison Keys narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.
Key context
- Match story: Madison Keys dropped just 6 games past Elena Rybakina.
Head to head
2–3| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati | R16 | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-7 6-4 6-2 |
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | R16 | hard | Madison Keys | 6-3 1-6 6-3 |
| 2024-03-18 | Miami | R16 | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2022-10-03 | Ostrava | R32 | hard | Elena Rybakina | 5-7 6-3 6-3 |
| 2022-05-23 | Roland Garros | R32 | clay | Madison Keys | 3-6 6-1 7-6 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
64%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.9
6.7
Double faults / match·Even
3.0
2.8
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
90
98
Break points saved·Slight edge
85
96
Break points won·Even
92
96
Deciding sets·Even
94
98
Tiebreaks·Even
95
92
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Clear edge
74
56
Keys M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Rybakina E.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast