Aryna Sabalenka vs Liudmila SamsonovaIndian Wells Quarter-final

Indian Wells · WTA · Quarter-final
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025 ·
hard
#43WTA
1775ELO
1723Hard ELO
$722kYTD
$8.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Sabalenka A.
6-2 6-3
Samsonova L.
Sabalenka A.
662
Samsonova L.
230

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Liudmila Samsonova 6-2 6-3 in the Indian Wells quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's round of 16. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

32
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-06WuhanR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-2
2024-08-12CincinnatiQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-2
2023-08-07MontrealR16hardLiudmila Samsonova7-6 4-6 6-3
2023-01-02Adelaide 1R16hardAryna Sabalenka7-6 7-6
2022-10-17Guadalajara 2R32hardLiudmila Samsonova6-4 2-6 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
46%
Service points won·Even
63%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
58%
Aces / match·Even
4.2
3.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (114 vs 78). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
100
54
Break points saved·Clear edge
93
73
Break points won·Slight edge
99
92
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
37
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
35

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
59
71

Sabalenka A.: played today · 4 matches, 76 games (7d) · Samsonova L.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 62 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw