Liudmila Samsonova vs Aryna SabalenkaMontreal Round of 16

Montreal · WTA · Round of 16
#43WTA
1775ELO
1723Hard ELO
$722kYTD
$8.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 August 2023 ·
hard
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
Samsonova L.
7-6 4-6 6-3
Sabalenka A.
Samsonova L.
7462
Sabalenka A.
6631

Liudmila Samsonova defeated Aryna Sabalenka 7-6 4-6 6-3 in the Montreal round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 4–1. Liudmila Samsonova narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

14
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-06WuhanR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-2
2025-03-05Indian WellsQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-3
2024-08-12CincinnatiQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-2
2023-01-02Adelaide 1R16hardAryna Sabalenka7-6 7-6
2022-10-17Guadalajara 2R32hardLiudmila Samsonova6-4 2-6 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
63%
Aces / match·Even
4.6
4.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (185 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
54
100
Break points saved·Clear edge
73
93
Break points won·Slight edge
92
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
37
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
35
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
71
59

Samsonova L.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 62 games (7d) · Sabalenka A.: played today · 4 matches, 76 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast

Draw