Liudmila Samsonova vs Aryna SabalenkaGuadalajara 2 Round of 32

Guadalajara 2 · WTA · Round of 32
#43WTA
1775ELO
1723Hard ELO
$722kYTD
$8.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 October 2022 ·
hard
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWLWW
Samsonova L.
6-4 2-6 6-2
Sabalenka A.
Samsonova L.
6262
Sabalenka A.
4621

Liudmila Samsonova defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-4 2-6 6-2 in the Guadalajara 2 round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 4–1. Liudmila Samsonova narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

14
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-06WuhanR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-2
2025-03-05Indian WellsQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-3
2024-08-12CincinnatiQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-2
2023-08-07MontrealR16hardLiudmila Samsonova7-6 4-6 6-3
2023-01-02Adelaide 1R16hardAryna Sabalenka7-6 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
63%
Aces / match·Even
4.7
4.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
54
100
Break points saved·Clear edge
73
93
Break points won·Slight edge
92
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
37
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
35
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
65
66

Samsonova L.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 62 games (7d) · Sabalenka A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw