Andrey Rublev vs Alex De MinaurDoha Quarter-final

Doha · ATP · Quarter-final
#18ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 February 2025 ·
hard
#8ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLW
Rublev A.
6-1 3-6 7-6
De Minaur A.
Rublev A.
6372
De Minaur A.
1661

Andrey Rublev defeated Alex De Minaur 6-1 3-6 7-6 in the Doha quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 4–3. Andrey Rublev narrowed the head-to-head to 4–4.

Key context

  • Match story: Andrey Rublev came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 3–6 7–6.

Head to head

34
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-12RotterdamQFhardAlex De Minaur7-6 4-6 6-3
2024-01-15Australian OpenR16hardAndrey Rublev6-4 6-7 6-7 6-3 6-0
2023-10-30Paris MastersQFhardAndrey Rublev4-6 6-3 6-1
2023-02-13RotterdamR32hardAlex De Minaur6-4 6-4
2022-04-11Monte Carlo MastersR32clayAndrey Rublev2-6 6-1 6-4
2018-11-05NextGen FinalsRRhardAlex De Minaur4-1 3-4 4-1 4-2
2018-07-30WashingtonSFhardAlex De Minaur5-7 7-6 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
57%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Even
65%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.8
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 117). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
83
94
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Dominant
65
97
Deciding sets·Even
96
95
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
82
66

Rublev A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d) · De Minaur A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast

Draw