Andrey Rublev vs Alex De Minaur — Australian Open Round of 16
Australian Open · ATP · Round of 16
RUS5#18ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWL
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 15 January 2024 ·
hard
AUS10#8ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLW
Rublev A.6-4 6-7 6-7 6-3 6-0
De Minaur A.
Rublev A.
666663
De Minaur A.
477302
Andrey Rublev defeated Alex De Minaur 6-4 6-7 6-7 6-3 6-0 in the Australian Open round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 4–3, defending last year's round of 16. Andrey Rublev narrowed the head-to-head to 4–4.
Key context
- Match story: Andrey Rublev handed Alex De Minaur a fifth-set bagel in a 6–4 6–7 6–7 6–3 6–0 win.
Head to head
3–4| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-17 | Doha | QF | hard | Andrey Rublev | 6-1 3-6 7-6 |
| 2024-02-12 | Rotterdam | QF | hard | Alex De Minaur | 7-6 4-6 6-3 |
| 2023-10-30 | Paris Masters | QF | hard | Andrey Rublev | 4-6 6-3 6-1 |
| 2023-02-13 | Rotterdam | R32 | hard | Alex De Minaur | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2022-04-11 | Monte Carlo Masters | R32 | clay | Andrey Rublev | 2-6 6-1 6-4 |
| 2018-11-05 | NextGen Finals | RR | hard | Alex De Minaur | 4-1 3-4 4-1 4-2 |
| 2018-07-30 | Washington | SF | hard | Alex De Minaur | 5-7 7-6 6-4 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
56%
Service points won·Even
67%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
42%
Break points saved·Even
66%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.1
4.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
2.6
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (164 vs 185). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
83
94
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Dominant
65
97
Deciding sets·Even
96
95
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
98
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Clear edge
82
66
Rublev A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d) · De Minaur A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast