Madison Keys vs Jelena OstapenkoAdelaide Round of 16

Adelaide · WTA · Round of 16
#24WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 January 2025 ·
hard
#30WTA
1855ELO
1794Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWWL
Keys M.
3-6 6-4 6-3
Ostapenko J.
Keys M.
3662
Ostapenko J.
6431

Madison Keys defeated Jelena Ostapenko 3-6 6-4 6-3 in the Adelaide round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #24, leading the head-to-head 3–2. Madison Keys extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

32
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-02-13DohaR32hardJelena Ostapenko7-5 6-2
2022-08-15CincinnatiR32hardMadison Keys6-4 7-5
2022-06-20EastbourneR16grassJelena Ostapenko6-3
2019-04-01CharlestonR16clayMadison Keys7-5 6-2
2016-06-13BirminghamQFgrassMadison Keys6-7 6-4 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
42%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
52%
Aces / match·Even
4.1
3.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.7
5.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (81 vs 69). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
89
68
Break points saved·Dominant
85
25
Break points won·Slight edge
92
100
Deciding sets·Even
94
94
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
66
95

Keys M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d) · Ostapenko J.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw