Jelena Ostapenko vs Madison KeysDoha Round of 32

Doha · WTA · Round of 32
#30WTA
1855ELO
1794Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 February 2023 ·
hard
#24WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLWWW
Ostapenko J.
7-5 6-2
Keys M.
Ostapenko J.
762
Keys M.
520

Jelena Ostapenko defeated Madison Keys 7-5 6-2 in the Doha round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #24, leading the head-to-head 4–1. Jelena Ostapenko narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

14
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-06AdelaideR16hardMadison Keys3-6 6-4 6-3
2022-08-15CincinnatiR32hardMadison Keys6-4 7-5
2022-06-20EastbourneR16grassJelena Ostapenko6-3
2019-04-01CharlestonR16clayMadison Keys7-5 6-2
2016-06-13BirminghamQFgrassMadison Keys6-7 6-4 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
61%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
61%
Aces / match·Even
3.9
4.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.4
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (178 vs 170). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
68
90
Break points saved·Dominant
25
85
Break points won·Slight edge
100
92
Deciding sets·Even
94
94
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
80
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
94
74

Ostapenko J.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Keys M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw