Jelena Ostapenko vs Madison Keys: Head-to-Head Record

Jelena Ostapenko

Latvia

2–5
7 meetings
Madison Keys

United States

Hard: 1–2Clay: 0–1Grass: 1–2
Weighted by importance & recency
2.5–4.5
The same matches re-weighted by what was at stake and how recently — a Grand Slam final this year counts for more than an early round a decade ago.
Jelena Ostapenko
2–5
Madison Keys

Jelena Ostapenko and Madison Keys have met 7 times on the professional tour. Madison Keys leads the head-to-head 5–2. Their most recent meeting came at Adelaide in 2025.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

Ostapenko J. and Keys M. faced 9 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Ostapenko J. went 4–6 (40%) against them, Keys M. 7–5 (58%). Keys M. came out better against 4 of 8 comparable opponents, Ostapenko J. against 1 — though 2 of those edges carry caveats (retirement).

4–6 · 40%Ostapenko J. · better vs 1
Record vs common opponents
7–5 · 58%Keys M. · better vs 4
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
11–13Sets15–9
99–107Games122–100
0–0Tiebreaks0–0
2–2Deciding sets1–2
Both lost · different surfaces (Grass × Hard)▾
Both lost · same surface, 44 days apart▾
Keys M. better · same surface, 27 days apart▾
Both won · different surfaces (Grass × Hard)▾
Keys M. better · same surface, 0 days apart · ⚠ retirement-shortened match▾
Keys M. better · same surface, 20 days apart▾
Keys M. better · same surface, 1 days apart · ⚠ retirement-shortened match▾
Ostapenko J. better · different surfaces (Clay × Hard)▾
Hard to compare — different surface & timing
Both won · hard to compare — different surfaces (Hard × Grass) · 10 months apart▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Jelena Ostapenko vs Madison Keys stats comparison

Ratings

#30 WTARanking#24 WTA
1855Elo (overall)1987
1794Hard Elo1920
1808Clay Elo1894
1770Grass Elo1843

Form

LLLWWLWWWLLast 10WWLWLLWWWW
2026 win rate·Clear edge
54%
71%
02026 titles1

Clutch

Under pressure
Jelena OstapenkoMadison Keys
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
68
90
Break points saved·Dominant
25
85
Break points won·Slight edge
100
92
Deciding sets·Even
94
94
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
80
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Jelena OstapenkoMadison Keys
Freshness·Clear edge
94
74

Jelena Ostapenko: 4 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Madison Keys: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Serve vs return

Recent form
Jelena Ostapenkoserving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Madison Keys

Madison Keysserving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Jelena Ostapenko

Serve advantage — Madison Keys

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Set records · last ~30 matches

First sets won·Even
63%
63%
Deciding sets won·Clear edge
46%
70%

Career

Career win rate·Slight edge
58%
64%
9Career titles12
1Grand Slam titles1

Profile

29Age31
177 cmHeight178 cm
RightPlaysRight

Set records use each player's last ~30 completed matches; form shows the last 10 results. Ratings come from the same data that powers the Umpiry Score.

All 7 meetings

Frequently asked questions

Who leads the head-to-head between Jelena Ostapenko and Madison Keys?

Madison Keys leads the head-to-head against Jelena Ostapenko 5–2 after 7 meetings.

How many times have Jelena Ostapenko and Madison Keys played each other?

Jelena Ostapenko and Madison Keys have played each other 7 times on the professional tour.

When did Jelena Ostapenko and Madison Keys last play each other?

Their most recent meeting came at Adelaide in 2025, where Madison Keys won.