Elise Mertens vs Naomi OsakaIndian Wells Round of 32

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 32
#22WTA
1894ELO
1847Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 6 March 2024 ·
hard
#13WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Mertens E.
7-5 6-4
Osaka N.
Mertens E.
762
Osaka N.
540

Elise Mertens defeated Naomi Osaka 7-5 6-4 in the Indian Wells round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Naomi Osaka came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 6–2. Elise Mertens narrowed the head-to-head to 6–3.

Key context

Head to head

26
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-08-07TorontoR32hardNaomi Osaka1-6 2-6
2026-06-23Bad HomburgR16grassNaomi Osaka6-3 6-3
2024-08-05TorontoR32hardElise Mertens6-3 6-4
2024-06-10s HertogenboschR32grassNaomi Osaka6-2 6-4
2021-03-22MiamiR16hardNaomi Osaka6-3 6-3
2020-08-24CincinnatiSFhardNaomi Osaka6-2 7-6
2019-09-16OsakaSFhardNaomi Osaka6-4 6-1
2017-09-25WuhanR64hardElise Mertens6-4 1-6 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Even
57%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
6.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.2
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (142 vs 122). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
69
93
Break points saved·Clear edge
65
85
Break points won·Even
97
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
63
97
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
70
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
82
84

Mertens E.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 24 games (7d) · Osaka N.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw