Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Giovanni OradiniM25 Lesa Round of 16

M25 Lesa · ITF · Round of 16
#411ATP
21 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10
WLLWWWWWWL
Sets
Thursday, 20 August 2026 ·
clay
#647ATP
28 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLWLWLWWWL
Cruz Martin Manzano J.
vs
Oradini G.

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano faces Giovanni Oradini in the M25 Lesa round of 16 on clay. Juan Cruz Martin Manzano holds the paper edge — ranked #411. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Cruz Martin Manzano J.54%
Oradini G.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.64 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.46 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

10 vs 11 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
64%
Return points won·Even
40%
42%
Break points saved·Even
59%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.8
5.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.7
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Cruz Martin Manzano J.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Oradini G.

Oradini G.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Cruz Martin Manzano J.

Serve advantage — Oradini G.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
89

Cruz Martin Manzano J.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
23°CShowers
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 86%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw