Blu Baker vs Andrea De Marchi — M25 Lesa Round of 16
M25 Lesa · ITF · Round of 16
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Sets
Thursday, 20 August 2026 ·
clay
Baker B.vs
De Marchi A.
Blu Baker faces Andrea De Marchi in the M25 Lesa round of 16 on clay. Andrea De Marchi holds the paper edge — ranked #688.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTCBaker B.52%
De Marchi A.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Andrea De Marchi advanced when Francesco Forti retired.
- Surface form: Blu Baker 4 of 5, Andrea De Marchi 5 of 5 on clay recently — Andrea De Marchi the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Blu Baker carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
4.75 of last 10 on clay
Surface form0.0Lost last 2
Win streakContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
2 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
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65%
1st serve points won·
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68%
2nd serve points won·
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51%
Service points won·
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62%
Return points won·
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49%
Break points saved·
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50%
Aces / match·
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2.5
Double faults / match·
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3.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Conditions
Weather forecast
24°CRain
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 82%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.