Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Moise Kouame

Cancun 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32

BRAQ

Felipe Meligeni Alves

#567ATP

1477ELO

1422Hard ELO

28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWWWWWWWWW

—

Sets

Thursday, 20 August 2026 · 01:00

hard

GRAND STAND SCOTIABANK · 3rd on

FRA

Moise Kouame

#214ATP

1568ELO

1549Hard ELO

17 yrs · 190 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LLLLWWLLLL

Meligeni Alves F.

Kouame M.

Felipe Meligeni Alves faces Moise Kouame in the Cancun 2 round of 32 on hard. Moise Kouame holds the paper edge — ranked #214, a roughly 130-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC

Meligeni Alves F.54%

Kouame M.46%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Freshness: Felipe Meligeni Alves comes in with 1 days of rest and 60 games in 14d, vs Moise Kouame's 21 and 0.
Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Felipe Meligeni Alves rising, Moise Kouame cooling.
Last match: Felipe Meligeni Alves dropped the opening set before beating Dali Blanch 6–7 7–6 6–2.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Meligeni Alves F.

4.7

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Kouame M.

6.1

Even matchUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

3.4Hard Elo 1422

Surface ELO

6.6+127 Hard Elo edge

3.9Overall Elo 1477

ELO gap

6.1Overall Elo 1568

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

3.93 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

5.36 of last 10 on hard

Win streak

0.0Lost last 4

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

16 vs 18 matches

Statistics

This season

Meligeni Alves F.Kouame M.

1st serve in·Even

64%

60%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

63%

69%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

55%

50%

Service points won·Even

60%

61%

Return points won·Slight edge

43%

38%

Break points saved·Slight edge

64%

69%

Aces / match·Dominant

1.6

4.9

Double faults / match·Dominant

1.2

4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Meligeni Alves F.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Kouame M.

Kouame M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Meligeni Alves F.

Serve advantage — Meligeni Alves F.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Meligeni Alves F.Kouame M.

Freshness·Dominant

100

Meligeni Alves F.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d) · Kouame M.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

34°COvercast

Wind 11 km/hHumidity 31%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Moise Kouame — Cancun 2 Round of 32