Dali Blanch vs Felipe Meligeni AlvesCancun 2 Q8

Cancun 2 · CHALLENGER · Q8
#313ATP
1536ELO
1285Hard ELO
23 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLLLWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
hard
CANCHA 1 KATAN · 1st on
#567ATP
1477ELO
1422Hard ELO
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWWW
Blanch D.
7-6 6-7 2-6
Meligeni Alves F.
Blanch D.
776221
Meligeni Alves F.
657762

Felipe Meligeni Alves defeated Dali Blanch in the Cancun 2 quarterfinals. The match ended with a score of 6-7, 7-6, 6-2 in favor of Meligeni Alves. Meligeni Alves converted 60% of his break points and won six service breaks to Blanch's four.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
55%
Service points won·Even
63%
60%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.6
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
13
30
Break points saved·Dominant
21
78
Break points won·Dominant
37
3
Deciding sets·Clear edge
23
39
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
64
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Blanch D.40%
Meligeni Alves F.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Meligeni Alves F. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1285
Surface ELO
6.7+137 Hard Elo edge
5.7Overall Elo 1536
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1477
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.53 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.72 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
60
64

Blanch D.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 64 games (7d) · Meligeni Alves F.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
28°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 77%

Draw