Tommy Paul vs Hubert Hurkacz — Cincinnati Round of 64
USA18
Paul T.
Tommy Paul defeated Hubert Hurkacz in the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati tournament on hard courts, winning 6-4, 6-7, 6-3. Paul converted 33% of his break points and secured two service breaks, while Hurkacz did not manage to break Paul's serve. Paul hit one ace and three double faults, compared to Hurkacz's 19 aces and three double faults.
Key context
- Match story: Tommy Paul closed it out in three sets, 6–4 6–7 6–3.
Head to head
3–2| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Wimbledon | R32 | grass | Hubert Hurkacz | 4-6 7-6 7-5 6-2 |
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | QF | clay | Tommy Paul | 7-6 6-3 |
| 2024-05-06 | Rome Masters | QF | clay | Tommy Paul | 7-5 3-6 6-3 |
| 2023-03-06 | Indian Wells Masters | R32 | hard | Tommy Paul | 4-6 6-2 6-4 |
| 2021-11-01 | Paris Masters | R32 | hard | Hubert Hurkacz | 7-5 7-6 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Paul T. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadPaul T.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d) · Hurkacz H.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 50 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About