
Hubert Hurkacz defeated Tommy Paul in the Round of 32 at Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 4-6, 7-6, 7-5, 6-2 in favor of Hurkacz. He hit 20 aces and committed 1 double fault, while converting 43% of break points and securing 3 service breaks.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Cincinnati | R64 | hard | Tommy Paul | 6-4 6-7 6-3 |
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | QF | clay | Tommy Paul | 7-6 6-3 |
| 2024-05-06 | Rome Masters | QF | clay | Tommy Paul | 7-5 3-6 6-3 |
| 2023-03-06 | Indian Wells Masters | R32 | hard | Tommy Paul | 4-6 6-2 6-4 |
| 2021-11-01 | Paris Masters | R32 | hard | Hubert Hurkacz | 7-5 7-6 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Strong favourite · Paul T. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Hurkacz H.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 50 games (7d) · Paul T.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the grass field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About