Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen — Montreal Round of 32
Merida Aguilar D.
Daniel Merida Aguilar defeated Alex Michelsen in the Round of 32 of the Montreal hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 6-7, 6-1 in favor of Merida Aguilar.
Key context
- Match story: Daniel Merida Aguilar came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–4 6–7 6–1.
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | R128 | hard | Alex Michelsen | 6-3 6-4 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Michelsen A. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadMerida Aguilar D.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d) · Michelsen A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About