Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar — Indian Wells Masters Round of 128
Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#41ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$797kYTD
$4.7MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026 ·
hard
#40ATP
1744ELO
1676Hard ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Michelsen A.6-3 6-4
Merida Aguilar D.
Michelsen A.
662
Merida Aguilar D.
340
Alex Michelsen defeated Daniel Merida Aguilar 6-3 6-4 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daniel Merida Aguilar came in ranked #40, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Alex Michelsen claimed a first win over Daniel Merida Aguilar in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.
Key context
- Match story: Alex Michelsen closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Montreal | R32 | hard | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 6-4 6-7 6-1 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
65%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
65%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.4
2.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.7
2.5
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
62
55
Break points saved·Dominant
92
64
Break points won·Clear edge
32
46
Deciding sets·Slight edge
80
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
83
49
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Clear edge
80
65
Michelsen A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d) · Merida Aguilar D.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast