Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frech — Toronto Round of 64
Toronto · WTA · Round of 64
USA3#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
#41WTA
1725ELO
1700Hard ELO
$778kYTD
$4.9MCAREER
28 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
Pegula J.3-6 6-3 6-2
Frech M.
Pegula J.
3662
Frech M.
6321
Jessica Pegula defeated Magdalena Frech in the Round of 64 at the Toronto tournament, 3-6, 6-3, 6-2. Pegula hit 6 aces and 6 double faults, winning 71% of her first serves and converting 71% of her break points. She won 5 service breaks to Frech's 3.
Key context
- Match story: Jessica Pegula dropped the opening set before beating Magdalena Frech 3–6 6–3 6–2.
Head to head
4–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Washington | R16 | hard | Jessica Pegula | 3-6 6-3 6-0 |
| 2025-04-14 | Stuttgart | R16 | clay | Jessica Pegula | 6-1 6-1 |
| 2023-04-24 | Madrid | R64 | clay | Jessica Pegula | 7-6 6-3 |
| 2021-09-27 | Chicago 2 | R64 | hard | Jessica Pegula | 6-3 6-0 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
44%
Service points won·Even
62%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Even
57%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.3
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.6
2.4
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTCPegula J.88%
Frech M.12%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Pegula J. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
9.5+358 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO0.5Hard Elo 1700
9.6Overall Elo 2096
ELO gap0.4Overall Elo 1725
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
7.58 of last 10 on hard
Surface form5.86 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streakFatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 66%