Luca Van Assche vs Titouan DroguetMontreal Round of 128

Montreal · ATP · Round of 128
#54ATP
1701ELO
1681Hard ELO
$411kYTD
$2.6MCAREER
22 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 5 · 1st on
#111ATP
1717ELO
1650Hard ELO
$295kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLW
Van Assche L.
4-6 6-2 6-7
Droguet T.
Van Assche L.
46671
Droguet T.
62792

Titouan Droguet defeated Luca Van Assche in the Round of 128 in Montreal. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 2-6, 7-6 in favor of Droguet. Droguet hit 9 aces and 4 double faults, while Van Assche had 3 aces and 6 double faults.

Key context

  • Match story: Titouan Droguet closed it out in three sets, 6–4 2–6 7–6.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-15UmagR16clayTitouan Droguet1-6 6-1 5-7

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
36%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.1
8.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
31
64
Break points saved·Slight edge
77
88
Break points won·Slight edge
7
17
Deciding sets·Dominant
50
93
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
64
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Van Assche L.52%
Droguet T.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+31 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1650
4.8Overall Elo 1701
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1717
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
6.97 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on hard
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
78
72

Van Assche L.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d) · Droguet T.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 82%

Draw