Luca Van Assche vs Titouan DroguetUmag Round of 16

Umag · ATP · Round of 16
#54ATP
1701ELO
1639Clay ELO
$411kYTD
$2.6MCAREER
22 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 15 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 3rd on
#111ATP
1717ELO
1681Clay ELO
$295kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
Van Assche L.
1-6 6-1 5-7
Droguet T.
Van Assche L.
1651
Droguet T.
6172

Titouan Droguet advanced to the quarterfinals at the Umag tournament, defeating Luca Van Assche in a three-set match. The final score was 6-1, 1-6, 7-5. Droguet converted 83% of his break points and secured five service breaks to Van Assche's four.

Key context

  • Match story: Titouan Droguet came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 1–6 7–5.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-08-03MontrealR128hardTitouan Droguet4-6 6-2 6-7(7)

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
36%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.2
8.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
31
64
Break points saved·Slight edge
77
88
Break points won·Slight edge
7
17
Deciding sets·Dominant
50
93
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
64
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Van Assche L.42%
Droguet T.58%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.5Clay Elo 1638
Surface ELO
5.5+42 Clay Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1701
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1717
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
8.58 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
78
72

Van Assche L.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d) · Droguet T.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 85%

Draw