Ryuki Matsuda vs Taisei Ichikawa — M15 Bali 2 Round of 32

M15 Bali 2 · ITF · Round of 32
JPN8
Ryuki Matsuda
#797ATP
26 yrs · 157 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
JPN
Taisei Ichikawa
#793ATP
25 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWWLL
Matsuda R.
3-6 6-2 6-2
Ichikawa T.
Matsuda R.
3662
Ichikawa T.
6221

Ryuki Matsuda defeated Taisei Ichikawa in the Round of 32 at the M15 Bali 2. The match ended with a score of 3-6, 6-2, 6-2 in favor of Matsuda. He hit 9 aces and converted 5 service breaks en route to the victory.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-24M15 BaliQFhardRyuki Matsuda2-6 6-3 6-2

Statistics

This season
Matsuda R.Ichikawa T.
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
31%
41%
Break points saved·Clear edge
53%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.5
6.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:50 UTC
Matsuda R.47%
Ichikawa T.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Matsuda R.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Ichikawa T.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
6.1Leads 2–1 on hard
H2H
3.9Trails 1–2 on hard
0.00 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 10
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Matsuda R.Ichikawa T.
Freshness·
—
88

Ichikawa T.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
18°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw