Ryuki Matsuda vs Taisei IchikawaM15 Bali Quarter-final

M15 Bali · ITF · Quarter-final
#797ATP
26 yrs · 157 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 24 July 2026 ·
hard
#793ATP
25 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWWLL
Matsuda R.
2-6 6-3 6-2
Ichikawa T.
Matsuda R.
2662
Ichikawa T.
6321

Ryuki Matsuda defeated Taisei Ichikawa in the quarterfinals of the M15 Bali tournament on hard courts. Matsuda won 2-6, 6-3, 6-2. He hit 4 aces and 3 double faults, while Ichikawa had 3 aces and 0 double faults.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-29M15 Bali 2R32hardRyuki Matsuda3-6 6-2 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
31%
41%
Break points saved·Clear edge
53%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.5
6.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC
Matsuda R.27%
Ichikawa T.73%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Ichikawa T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.8Split 1–1 on hard
H2H
5.2Split 1–1 on hard
0.00 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 10
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
88

Ichikawa T.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
19°CDrizzle
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 73%

Draw