Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane — Washington Round of 32

Washington · ATP · Round of 32

USA6

Frances Tiafoe

#23ATP

1918ELO

1861Hard ELO

$1.9MYTD

$18MCAREER

28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WWWLWLWWWW

1 — 2

Sets

Tuesday, 28 July 2026 · 21:05

hard

STADIUM · 5th on

FRA

Terence Atmane

#45ATP

1704ELO

1674Hard ELO

$717kYTD

$2.2MCAREER

24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWWLWWLLLL

Tiafoe F.

6-4 3-6 4-6

Atmane T.

Tiafoe F.

6341

Atmane T.

4662

Terence Atmane defeated Frances Tiafoe in the Round of 32 at the Washington tournament, winning 4-6, 6-3, 6-4. Atmane served 10 aces to Tiafoe's 7 and converted 3 service breaks to Tiafoe's 2. He also had a first-serve win percentage of 83 compared to Tiafoe's 78.

Key context

Match story: Terence Atmane dropped the opening set before beating Frances Tiafoe 4–6 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

3–0

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2026-07-01	Wimbledon	R128	grass	Frances Tiafoe	7-6 6-1 4-6 6-4
2026-03-18	Miami Masters	R16	hard	Frances Tiafoe	6-4 1-6 6-4
2026-02-09	Dallas	R32	hard	Frances Tiafoe	4-6 6-2 6-2

View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season

Tiafoe F.serving95% hold

wins 76% of points on serve vs Atmane T.

Atmane T.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tiafoe F.Atmane T.

Serve

Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season

Tiafoe F.Atmane T.

1st serve in·Even

61%

62%

1st serve points won·Even

75%

2nd serve points won·Even

54%

52%

Service points won·Even

67%

66%

Return points won·Slight edge

35%

30%

Break points saved·Slight edge

68%

62%

Aces / match·Slight edge

7.0

7.9

Double faults / match·Even

2.1

2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure

Tiafoe F.Atmane T.

Clutch Rating·Dominant

Break points saved·Slight edge

Break points won·Clear edge

Deciding sets·Dominant

Tiebreaks·Clear edge

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC

Tiafoe F.73%

Atmane T.27%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Tiafoe F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Tiafoe F.

7.1

Strong advantageUmpiry Score

Atmane T.

4.5

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

7.3+188 Hard Elo edge

Surface ELO

2.7Hard Elo 1674

7.7Overall Elo 1918

ELO gap

2.3Overall Elo 1704

7.8Leads 2–0 on hard

H2H

2.2Trails 0–2 on hard

7.98 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

5.45 of last 10 on hard

0.0

Win streak

0.0Lost last 3

Fatigue & Travel

7.0Grass → Hard

Surface transition

7.0Grass → Hard

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load

Tiafoe F.Atmane T.

Freshness·Clear edge

Tiafoe F.: played today · 3 matches, 68 games (7d) · Atmane T.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 52 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Fastbig serves, short points

SlowFast

Weather

27°CClear

Wind 7 km/hHumidity 67%

Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane — Washington Round of 32

Key context

Head to head

Serve vs return

Serve & return on hard

Statistics

Clutch

Win Probability

Umpiry Score

Freshness

Conditions

Draw

Serve vs return

Serve & return on hard