Frances Tiafoe vs Terence AtmaneWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 128
#23ATP
1918ELO
1823Grass ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLLWWWW
3 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
grass
Court 12 · 2nd on
#45ATP
1704ELO
1544Grass ELO
$717kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
Tiafoe F.
7-6 6-1 4-6 6-4
Atmane T.
Tiafoe F.
76463
Atmane T.
61641

Frances Tiafoe defeated Terence Atmane in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 7-6, 6-1, 4-6, 6-4 in favor of Tiafoe. Tiafoe had 11 aces and 6 double faults, while Atmane had 9 aces and 5 double faults; Tiafoe converted 56% of break points and Atmane converted 33%, with Tiafoe securing 5 service breaks to Atmane's 3.

Key context

  • Match story: Frances Tiafoe came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 6–1 4–6 6–4.

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-28WashingtonR32hardTerence Atmane6-4 3-6 4-6
2026-03-18Miami MastersR16hardFrances Tiafoe6-4 1-6 6-4
2026-02-09DallasR32hardFrances Tiafoe4-6 6-2 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
67%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
30%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.9
8.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
75
40
Break points saved·Slight edge
97
88
Break points won·Clear edge
45
23
Deciding sets·Dominant
88
39
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
97
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Tiafoe F.85%
Atmane T.15%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Tiafoe F. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.3+261 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.7Grass Elo 1563
7.5Overall Elo 1918
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1718
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
8.48 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
2.73 of last 10 on grass
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
5.1Won 52% in United Kingdom (25)
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
65
74

Tiafoe F.: played today · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Atmane T.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 52 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CPartly cloudy
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw