Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti — Washington Round of 32
ITA4
Arnaldi M.Lorenzo Musetti advanced to the next round of the Washington tournament with a win over Matteo Arnaldi in the Round of 32. Arnaldi retired during the match, trailing 6-0, 3-1. Musetti converted 57% of his break points and won 93% of his first-serve points in the match.
Around the match
Musetti returns from injury layoff that forced him out of Roland Garros and Wimbledon, seeking low-pressure tune-up before US Open.
Musetti L.rg.org ↗Musetti returning to competition after a thigh injury layoff at Washington.
Musetti L.10sBalls.com ↗
Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.
Head to head
0–3| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | R128 | hard | Lorenzo Musetti | 7-6 4-6 7-6 6-3 |
| 2023-07-17 | Bastad | R16 | clay | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-3 4-6 7-6 |
| 2023-05-08 | Rome Masters | R64 | clay | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-4 6-4 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Musetti L. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadArnaldi M.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Musetti L.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About