Lorenzo Musetti vs Matteo Arnaldi — Australian Open Round of 128
Australian Open · ATP · Round of 128
ITA16#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLWWLW
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 January 2025 ·
hard
#34ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLLWW
Musetti L.7-6 4-6 7-6 6-3
Arnaldi M.
Musetti L.
74763
Arnaldi M.
66631
Lorenzo Musetti defeated Matteo Arnaldi 7-6 4-6 7-6 6-3 in the Australian Open round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 64. Lorenzo Musetti extended the head-to-head to 4–0.
Key context
- Match story: Lorenzo Musetti closed it out in four sets, 7–6 4–6 7–6 6–3.
Head to head
3–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Washington | R32 | hard | Lorenzo Musetti | 0-6 1-3 |
| 2023-07-17 | Bastad | R16 | clay | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-3 4-6 7-6 |
| 2023-05-08 | Rome Masters | R64 | clay | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-4 6-4 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
50%
Service points won·Even
66%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Even
63%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.6
6.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.2
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (87 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Dominant
89
54
Break points saved·Even
94
95
Break points won·Dominant
81
22
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
58
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
98
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Clear edge
70
85
Musetti L.: played today · 3 matches, 54 games (7d) · Arnaldi M.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast