Paula Badosa vs Panna UdvardyHamburg Round of 16

Hamburg · WTA · Round of 16
#84WTA
1780ELO
1684Clay ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 3rd on
#77WTA
1681ELO
1629Clay ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWLLW
Badosa P.
6-4 6-1
Udvardy P.
Badosa P.
662
Udvardy P.
410

Paula Badosa defeated Panna Udvardy 6-4, 6-1 in the Round of 16 at the Hamburg clay tournament. Badosa hit 3 aces and 6 double faults, winning 73% of her first serves, while converting 55% of break points and securing 6 service breaks. Udvardy recorded 1 ace and 2 double faults, winning 44% of her first serves, converting 100% of break points, and securing 3 service breaks.

Around the match

  • We were on the same plane and talked for what felt like two and a half hours. As I always say: we are ambitious players, but after the match I'm friendly to everyone – well, those who are nice, of course. She's a nice person, so I have no problem with it.

    Badosa P.hamburg-open.com· 2026-07-23
  • My body is struggling right now. I have played many matches in a row. But it is what it is. It's hard because I didn't have much time to recover. I was a bit worried about that today.

    Badosa P.hamburg-open.com· 2026-07-23

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-17IasiQFclayPaula Badosa4-6 6-7(2)

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
55%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
55%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
54%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.9
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
7.5
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
91
6
Break points saved·Dominant
84
4
Break points won·Dominant
95
63
Deciding sets·Dominant
93
12
Tiebreaks·
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Badosa P.69%
Udvardy P.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Badosa P. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+56 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Clay Elo 1629
6.2Overall Elo 1780
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1681
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
8.69 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.77 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
89

Udvardy P.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
20°CMainly clear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw