Panna Udvardy vs Paula Badosa — Iasi Quarter-final

Iasi · WTA · Quarter-final
Panna Udvardy
HUN5
Panna Udvardy
#77WTA
1681ELO
1629Clay ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 17 July 2026 ·
clay
Paula Badosa
ESP
Paula Badosa
#84WTA
1780ELO
1684Clay ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
Udvardy P.
4-6 6-7
Badosa P.
Udvardy P.
4620
Badosa P.
6772

Paula Badosa defeated Panna Udvardy in the quarterfinals of the Iasi tournament on clay, winning 6-4, 7-6. Badosa hit 5 aces and 7 double faults, while Udvardy had 1 ace and 2 double faults. Badosa converted 43% of her break points and won 3 service breaks to Udvardy's 2.

Around the match

  • Badosa advances to her first semifinal in 18 months after a dramatic comeback against Udvardy, saving set points.

    Badosa P.WTA Tennis ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-23HamburgR16clayPaula Badosa6-4 6-1

Statistics

This season
Udvardy P.Badosa P.
1st serve in·Even
58%
55%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
41%
Service points won·Even
55%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
50%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.5
4.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
7.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Udvardy P.Badosa P.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
6
90
Break points saved·Dominant
4
84
Break points won·Dominant
63
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
12
93
Tiebreaks·
—
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Udvardy P.34%
Badosa P.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Badosa P. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Udvardy P.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Badosa P.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.3Clay Elo 1629
Surface ELO
5.7+56 Clay Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1681
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1780
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.07 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.68 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
9.07-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Udvardy P.Badosa P.
Freshness·
87
—

Udvardy P.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
30°CMainly clear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 37%

Draw