Alex Molcan vs Daniel Altmaier — Kitzbuhel Round of 16

Kitzbuhel · ATP · Round of 16
Alex Molcan
SVK
Alex Molcan
#75ATP
1742ELO
1712Clay ELO
$303kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
28 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 ·
clay
GRANDSTAND · 3rd on
Daniel Altmaier
GER
Daniel Altmaier
#65ATP
1734ELO
1693Clay ELO
$750kYTD
$5.6MCAREER
27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLLW
Molcan A.
6-3 3-6 7-5
Altmaier D.
Molcan A.
6372
Altmaier D.
3651

Alex Molcan defeated Daniel Altmaier in the Round of 16 at Kitzbuhel, advancing with a 6-3, 3-6, 7-5 victory. Molcan hit 5 aces and 2 double faults, winning 67 percent of his first serves and converting 38 percent of break points. He secured 5 service breaks to Altmaier's 4 in the clay-court match.

Key context

  • Match story: Alex Molcan closed it out in three sets, 6–3 3–6 7–5.

Head to head

2–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-01WimbledonR128grassAlex Molcan6-4 3-6 7-5 6-2
2026-04-13MunichR16clayAlex Molcan6-4 7-6

Statistics

This season
Molcan A.Altmaier D.
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
46%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.5
6.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.7
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Molcan A.Altmaier D.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
72
50
Break points saved·Even
88
92
Break points won·Dominant
42
15
Deciding sets·Clear edge
95
71
Tiebreaks·Dominant
94
69

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Molcan A.59%
Altmaier D.41%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Molcan A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Molcan A.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Altmaier D.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.2+19 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Clay Elo 1693
5.1Overall Elo 1742
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1734
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
7.78 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.25 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Molcan A.Altmaier D.
Freshness·Clear edge
100
88

Molcan A.: 18 days rest · Altmaier D.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 35%

Draw