Alex Molcan vs Daniel AltmaierWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 128
#75ATP
1742ELO
1624Grass ELO
$303kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
28 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLL
3 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
grass
Court 8 · 2nd on
#65ATP
1734ELO
1611Grass ELO
$750kYTD
$5.6MCAREER
27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWLW
Molcan A.
6-4 3-6 7-5 6-2
Altmaier D.
Molcan A.
63763
Altmaier D.
46521

Alex Molcan defeated Daniel Altmaier in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 3-6, 7-5, 6-2 in favor of Molcan. Molcan converted 38% of his break points and secured 5 service breaks, while Altmaier converted 12% of his break points and secured 2 service breaks.

Key context

  • Match story: Alex Molcan closed it out in four sets, 6–4 3–6 7–5 6–2.

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-22KitzbuhelR16clayAlex Molcan6-3 3-6 7-5
2026-04-13MunichR16clayAlex Molcan6-4 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
46%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.4
6.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.6
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
72
49
Break points saved·Even
88
92
Break points won·Dominant
42
15
Deciding sets·Clear edge
95
71
Tiebreaks·Dominant
94
69

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Molcan A.58%
Altmaier D.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Molcan A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+6 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Grass Elo 1619
5.3Overall Elo 1761
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1736
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.15 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
98
74

Molcan A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Altmaier D.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CPartly cloudy
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw