Ayla Aksu vs Sofia CostoulasLivesport Prague Open Round of 32

Livesport Prague Open · WTA · Round of 32
#202WTA
1521ELO
1513Hard ELO
30 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 3rd on
#158WTA
1565ELO
1569Hard ELO
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLL
Aksu A.
2-6 6-3 6-4
Costoulas S.
Aksu A.
2662
Costoulas S.
6341

Ayla Aksu defeated Sofia Costoulas in the Round of 32 at the Livesport Prague Open, coming back from a set down to win 2-6, 6-3, 6-4. Aksu hit 3 aces and 4 double faults, while converting 22% of break points and winning 75% of first-serve points. Costoulas recorded 2 aces and 2 double faults, converting 29% of break points and winning 64% of first-serve points; both players earned 2 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-19Livesport Prague OpenFhardSofia Costoulas7-5 6-2
2025-08-30W35 Heraklion 1SFhardSofia Costoulas6-2 1-6 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
43%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
47%
45%
Break points saved·Even
54%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.3
3.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.3
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Aksu A.37%
Costoulas S.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Costoulas S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1513
Surface ELO
5.7+56 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1521
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1565
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
5.56 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.57 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
89
100

Aksu A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Costoulas S.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Draw