Sofia Costoulas vs Ayla AksuLivesport Prague Open Qualifying Final

Livesport Prague Open · WTA · Qualifying Final
#158WTA
1565ELO
1569Hard ELO
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 19 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 2 · 2nd on
#202WTA
1521ELO
1513Hard ELO
30 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLWWW
Costoulas S.
7-5 6-2
Aksu A.
Costoulas S.
762
Aksu A.
520

Sofia Costoulas defeated Ayla Aksu 7-5, 6-2 in the final of the Livesport Prague Open. Costoulas hit 3 aces and 1 double fault, while Aksu had 2 aces and 4 double faults. Costoulas won 72% of her first-serve points and converted 67% of her break points, compared to Aksu's 61% and 50%, respectively; Costoulas broke Aksu's serve 4 times and Aksu broke Costoulas' serve once.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-20Livesport Prague OpenR32hardAyla Aksu2-6 6-3 6-4
2025-08-30W35 Heraklion 1SFhardSofia Costoulas6-2 1-6 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
46%
Service points won·Even
58%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
53%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.3
1.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (44 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Costoulas S.64%
Aksu A.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Costoulas S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.7+56 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Hard Elo 1513
5.5Overall Elo 1565
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1521
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
7.27 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Costoulas S.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Draw