Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van AsscheUmag Round of 32

Umag · ATP · Round of 32
#146ATP
1620ELO
1588Clay ELO
$208kYTD
$11MCAREER
36 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
clay
GORAN IVANISEVIC STADIUM STUDENAC ARENA · 2nd on
#54ATP
1701ELO
1639Clay ELO
$411kYTD
$2.6MCAREER
22 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWL
Lajovic D.
6-2 5-7 4-6
Van Assche L.
Lajovic D.
6541
Van Assche L.
2762

Luca Van Assche defeated Dusan Lajovic in the Round of 32 of the Umag tournament on clay, coming back from a set down to win 2-6, 7-5, 6-4. The match saw both players converting 5 service breaks, with Van Assche having a higher break points converted percentage of 56 compared to Lajovic's 42. Van Assche hit 3 aces and 3 double faults, while Lajovic had 8 aces and no double faults.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-08-13CincinnatiQ32hardLuca Van Assche7-6(5) 2-6 6-3
2025-08-19US OpenQ128hardLuca Van Assche6-3 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.0
3.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.7
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
42
31
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
77
Break points won·Slight edge
18
7
Deciding sets·Slight edge
57
50
Tiebreaks·Even
66
64

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Lajovic D.37%
Van Assche L.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Van Assche L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.4Clay Elo 1588
Surface ELO
5.6+51 Clay Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1620
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1701
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
4.85 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.87 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
52
78

Lajovic D.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 100 games (7d) · Van Assche L.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
30°CPartly cloudy
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 43%

Draw