Jasmine Paolini vs Maria Sakkari — Wimbledon Round of 32
ITA13
Paolini J.
Jasmine Paolini defeated Maria Sakkari in the Round of 32 at Wimbledon, winning 6-1, 6-2 on the grass courts. Paolini and Sakkari each served one ace, with Paolini committing zero double faults to Sakkari's four. Paolini converted 36% of her break points and won 84% of her first-serve points to advance.
Key context
- Match story: Jasmine Paolini dropped just 3 games past Maria Sakkari.
Head to head
2–3| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Doha | R32 | hard | Maria Sakkari | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati | R64 | hard | Jasmine Paolini | 7-6 7-6 |
| 2025-04-22 | Madrid | R32 | clay | Maria Sakkari | 6-2 6-1 |
| 2024-02-19 | Dubai | R16 | hard | Jasmine Paolini | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2021-05-31 | Roland Garros | R64 | clay | Maria Sakkari | 6-2 6-3 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Paolini J. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadSakkari M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About