Maria Sakkari vs Jasmine Paolini — Doha Round of 32
Doha · WTA · Round of 32
#32WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$15MCAREER
31 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 8 February 2026 ·
hard
ITA6#15WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLW
Sakkari M.6-4 6-2
Paolini J.
Sakkari M.
662
Paolini J.
420
Maria Sakkari defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-4 6-2 in the Doha round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's round of 16. Maria Sakkari narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.
Key context
- Match story: Maria Sakkari dropped just 6 games past Jasmine Paolini.
Head to head
2–3| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Wimbledon | R32 | grass | Jasmine Paolini | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati | R64 | hard | Jasmine Paolini | 7-6 7-6 |
| 2025-04-22 | Madrid | R32 | clay | Maria Sakkari | 6-2 6-1 |
| 2024-02-19 | Dubai | R16 | hard | Jasmine Paolini | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2021-05-31 | Roland Garros | R64 | clay | Maria Sakkari | 6-2 6-3 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
64%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
57%
Return points won·Even
41%
44%
Break points saved·Even
59%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.8
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Even
79
77
Break points saved·Dominant
78
46
Break points won·Slight edge
91
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
95
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
77
86
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·
75
—
Sakkari M.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast