Jelena Ostapenko vs Jasmine Paolini — Miami Round of 32
Miami · WTA · Round of 32
LAT25#30WTA
1855ELO
1794Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 17 March 2026 ·
hard
ITA7#15WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLW
Ostapenko J.5-7 6-2 7-5
Paolini J.
Ostapenko J.
5672
Paolini J.
7251
Jelena Ostapenko defeated Jasmine Paolini 5-7 6-2 7-5 in the Miami round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #15, defending last year's semi-final. Jelena Ostapenko extended the head-to-head to 3–2.
Key context
- Match story: Jelena Ostapenko dropped the opening set before beating Jasmine Paolini 5–7 6–2 7–5.
Head to head
2–2| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-06 | Rome | R16 | clay | Jasmine Paolini | 7-5 6-2 |
| 2025-02-09 | Doha | R16 | hard | Jelena Ostapenko | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2023-08-28 | US Open | R128 | hard | Jelena Ostapenko | 6-2 4-6 6-1 |
| 2014-01-27 | Burnie 50K | Q32 | hard | Jasmine Paolini | 6-4 6-4 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
49%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.4
1.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.6
1.7
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
68
77
Break points saved·Clear edge
25
46
Break points won·Even
100
96
Deciding sets·Even
94
95
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
80
86
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·
94
—
Ostapenko J.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast