

Jasmine Paolini defeated Jelena Ostapenko 7-5 6-2 in the Rome round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #15, defending last year's round of 64. Jasmine Paolini narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | Miami | R32 | hard | Jelena Ostapenko | 5-7 6-2 7-5 |
| 2025-02-09 | Doha | R16 | hard | Jelena Ostapenko | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2023-08-28 | US Open | R128 | hard | Jelena Ostapenko | 6-2 4-6 6-1 |
| 2014-01-27 | Burnie 50K | Q32 | hard | Jasmine Paolini | 6-4 6-4 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (94 vs 69). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Ostapenko J.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About