Jasmine Paolini vs Jelena OstapenkoRome Round of 16

Rome · WTA · Round of 16
#15WTA
1905ELO
1856Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 6 May 2025 ·
clay
#30WTA
1855ELO
1808Clay ELO
$1.5MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWWL
Paolini J.
7-5 6-2
Ostapenko J.
Paolini J.
762
Ostapenko J.
520

Jasmine Paolini defeated Jelena Ostapenko 7-5 6-2 in the Rome round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #15, defending last year's round of 64. Jasmine Paolini narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-17MiamiR32hardJelena Ostapenko5-7 6-2 7-5
2025-02-09DohaR16hardJelena Ostapenko6-2 6-2
2023-08-28US OpenR128hardJelena Ostapenko6-2 4-6 6-1
2014-01-27Burnie 50KQ32hardJasmine Paolini6-4 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
42%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
56%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.4
3.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
5.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (94 vs 69). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
77
68
Break points saved·Clear edge
46
25
Break points won·Even
96
100
Deciding sets·Even
95
94
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
86
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Ostapenko J.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw