Elena Rybakina vs Elina SvitolinaIndian Wells Semi-final

Indian Wells · WTA · Semi-final
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026 ·
hard
#9WTA
2070ELO
1997Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$30MCAREER
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWLW
Rybakina E.
7-5 6-4
Svitolina E.
Rybakina E.
762
Svitolina E.
540

Elena Rybakina defeated Elina Svitolina 7-5 6-4 in the Indian Wells semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, defending last year's round of 16. Elena Rybakina narrowed the head-to-head to 4–4.

Key context

Head to head

34
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-13RomeQFclayElina Svitolina2-6 6-4 6-4
2025-04-22MadridR32clayElina Svitolina6-3 6-4
2024-07-01WimbledonQFgrassElena Rybakina6-3 6-2
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR16clayElena Rybakina6-4 6-3
2021-07-24Tokyo OlympicsBRhardElina Svitolina1-6 7-6 6-4
2021-06-21EastbourneR16grassElena Rybakina6-4 7-6
2020-09-21StrasbourgFclayElina Svitolina6-4 1-6 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Even
64%
60%
Return points won·Even
42%
46%
Break points saved·Even
65%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.5
3.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
91
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
83
Break points won·Even
96
99
Deciding sets·Even
98
98
Tiebreaks·Even
92
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
78
88

Rybakina E.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 25 games (7d) · Svitolina E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw