

Elina Svitolina defeated Elena Rybakina 1-6 7-6 6-4 in the Tokyo Olympics bronze final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 4–3. Elina Svitolina narrowed the head-to-head to 4–4.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Rome | QF | clay | Elina Svitolina | 2-6 6-4 6-4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells | SF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2025-04-22 | Madrid | R32 | clay | Elina Svitolina | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2024-07-01 | Wimbledon | QF | grass | Elena Rybakina | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2024-05-27 | Roland Garros | R16 | clay | Elena Rybakina | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2021-06-21 | Eastbourne | R16 | grass | Elena Rybakina | 6-4 7-6 |
| 2020-09-21 | Strasbourg | F | clay | Elina Svitolina | 6-4 1-6 6-2 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Svitolina E.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Rybakina E.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About