Katerina Siniakova vs Leylah FernandezIndian Wells Round of 64

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 64
#44WTA
1846ELO
1807Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026 ·
hard
#31WTA
1805ELO
1785Hard ELO
$906kYTD
$8.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLLLW
Siniakova K.
5-7 6-4 7-6
Fernandez L.
Siniakova K.
5672
Fernandez L.
7461

Katerina Siniakova defeated Leylah Fernandez 5-7 6-4 7-6 in the Indian Wells round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Leylah Fernandez came in ranked #31, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 64. Katerina Siniakova narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-16NanchangSFhardKaterina Siniakova7-5 6-4
2023-10-09Hong KongFhardLeylah Fernandez3-6 6-4 6-4
2022-05-23Roland GarrosR64clayLeylah Fernandez6-3 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.4
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
35
80
Break points saved·Dominant
21
77
Break points won·Even
92
90
Deciding sets·Dominant
20
86
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
75
68

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
76
81

Siniakova K.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d) · Fernandez L.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw