Leylah Fernandez defeated Katerina Siniakova 3-6 6-4 6-4 in the Hong Kong final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Katerina Siniakova came in leading the head-to-head 2–1. Leylah Fernandez narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells | R64 | hard | Katerina Siniakova | 5-7 6-4 7-6 |
| 2023-10-16 | Nanchang | SF | hard | Katerina Siniakova | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2022-05-23 | Roland Garros | R64 | clay | Leylah Fernandez | 6-3 6-2 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 193). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Fernandez L.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d) · Siniakova K.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About