Leylah Fernandez vs Katerina SiniakovaHong Kong Final

Hong Kong · WTA · Final
#31WTA
1805ELO
1785Hard ELO
$906kYTD
$8.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 9 October 2023 ·
hard
#44WTA
1846ELO
1807Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLWWW
Fernandez L.
3-6 6-4 6-4
Siniakova K.
Fernandez L.
3662
Siniakova K.
6441

Leylah Fernandez defeated Katerina Siniakova 3-6 6-4 6-4 in the Hong Kong final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Katerina Siniakova came in leading the head-to-head 2–1. Leylah Fernandez narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian WellsR64hardKaterina Siniakova5-7 6-4 7-6
2023-10-16NanchangSFhardKaterina Siniakova7-5 6-4
2022-05-23Roland GarrosR64clayLeylah Fernandez6-3 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
45%
Service points won·Even
59%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Even
58%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.6
1.8
Double faults / match·Even
4.5
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 193). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
80
35
Break points saved·Dominant
77
21
Break points won·Even
90
92
Deciding sets·Dominant
86
20
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
68
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
81
76

Fernandez L.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d) · Siniakova K.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw