

Victoria Mboko defeated Elena Rybakina 7-5 4-6 6-4 in the Doha quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's quarter-final. Victoria Mboko narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-20 | Tokyo | QF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-3 7-6 |
| 2025-07-27 | Montreal | SF | hard | Victoria Mboko | 1-6 7-5 7-6 |
| 2025-07-21 | Washington | R16 | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-3 7-5 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Rybakina E.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 120 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About