
Victoria Mboko defeated Elena Rybakina 1-6 7-5 7-6 in the Montreal semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Victoria Mboko narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Doha | QF | hard | Victoria Mboko | 7-5 4-6 6-4 |
| 2025-10-20 | Tokyo | QF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-3 7-6 |
| 2025-07-21 | Washington | R16 | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-3 7-5 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (135 vs 119). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Rybakina E.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About